Wednesday, December 5, 2007

Caution Mr President

So far President Bush has had the good sense not to take military action against Iran's nuclear program. This report seems to support his caution.

VIENNA: A new US intelligence review that concludes Iran stopped developing a nuclear weapons programme in 2003 is consistent with the UN atomic watchdog agency's own findings and "should help to defuse the current crisis", the organisation's chief said yesterday.

"The agency has no concrete evidence of an ongoing nuclear weapons programme or undeclared nuclear facilities in Iran," International Atomic Energy Agency director-general Mohamed ElBaradei said.

Iran welcomed the report and demanded Washington change its policies seeking new sanctions....

My concern is the reliability of any intelligence report. How do we really know that the Iranians aren't developing nukes? Previous information has been wrong in a big way. I hope we don't wake up one day to find a city has been turned into radio-active ash by some country no body expected to have WMDs.

Considering the reliability problem, containment, deterrence and isolation make sense but direct military action? No. That requires proof.

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